Análisis Basel vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.25
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2005 |
NEX
0 - 4
BAS
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 2
BAS
16%
21%
63%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 2
ZUR
66%
19%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 2005 |
FCA
0 - 5
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 abr. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 1
YOB
64%
19%
17%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 may. 2005 |
STG
1 - 2
THU
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2005 |
THU
2 - 5
GCZ
51%
23%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2005 |
THU
5 - 1
ZUR
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2005 |
THU
4 - 0
SCH
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2005 |
THU
5 - 0
FCA
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |