Análisis Basel vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.41
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.3%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 ago. 2007 |
MAT
0 - 4
BAS
37%
24%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2007 |
FCL
2 - 4
BAS
19%
22%
60%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 ago. 2007 |
GCZ
2 - 0
BAS
31%
25%
45%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 ago. 2007 |
BAS
2 - 1
MAT
66%
19%
15%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 ago. 2007 |
BAS
3 - 2
SIO
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ago. 2007 |
THU
1 - 0
GCZ
35%
26%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 ago. 2007 |
YOB
0 - 0
THU
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 ago. 2007 |
THU
2 - 5
FCA
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 ago. 2007 |
THU
0 - 1
SIO
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 ago. 2007 |
ZUR
3 - 1
THU
67%
20%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |