Análisis Basel vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.97
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2014 |
BAS
3 - 0
VCF
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2014 |
FCL
0 - 2
BAS
28%
25%
47%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2014 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCL
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BAS
33%
25%
42%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2014 |
RBS
1 - 2
BAS
42%
23%
35%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 2014 |
THU
1 - 3
GCZ
36%
26%
39%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2014 |
ZUR
0 - 0
THU
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2014 |
STG
1 - 0
THU
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2014 |
THU
2 - 2
LAU
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2014 |
FCA
1 - 4
THU
43%
26%
32%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |