Análisis Basel vs Zurich
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.31
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.2%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+19%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 jul. 2004 |
SER
1 - 2
BAS
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 jul. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 1
NEX
75%
16%
10%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 2004 |
BAS
6 - 0
FCA
74%
16%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 may. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 1
YOB
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
GCZ
0 - 2
BAS
48%
23%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 jul. 2004 |
ZUR
1 - 0
THU
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2004 |
ZUR
3 - 1
STG
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 jul. 2004 |
GCZ
1 - 1
ZUR
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2004 |
ZUR
4 - 1
FCA
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 may. 2004 |
SER
2 - 3
ZUR
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |