Análisis Bastia vs Ajaccio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+2%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 1969 |
FCR
3 - 0
BAS
56%
20%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1969 |
BAS
2 - 2
MET
52%
21%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1969 |
VAL
2 - 0
BAS
49%
23%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 ago. 1969 |
BAS
2 - 5
NÎM
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 ago. 1969 |
GIR
1 - 0
BAS
77%
13%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 1969 |
AJA
0 - 1
SED
38%
22%
40%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1969 |
MAR
1 - 0
AJA
62%
21%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 sep. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 2
RED
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 ago. 1969 |
STR
2 - 0
AJA
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 1969 |
AJA
0 - 0
ANG
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |