Análisis Bastia vs Ajaccio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.5%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
17.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ago. 2004 |
NAN
1 - 1
BAS
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2004 |
BAS
2 - 1
STR
48%
27%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 1
PSG
30%
29%
41%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 may. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 0
BAS
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 may. 2004 |
LYO
1 - 0
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ago. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 2
MET
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2004 |
SOC
1 - 0
AJA
71%
18%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2004 |
AJA
3 - 1
MET
33%
29%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 may. 2004 |
LEN
2 - 0
AJA
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 may. 2004 |
AJA
1 - 0
SOC
20%
27%
53%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |