Análisis Bastia vs Ajaccio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 1
BAS
53%
23%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 2
SOC
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 2014 |
REN
3 - 0
BAS
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 mar. 2014 |
BAS
2 - 0
REI
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 mar. 2014 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAS
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 1
GIR
21%
27%
52%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
AJA
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 2014 |
AJA
2 - 2
TFC
25%
28%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 mar. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 3
AJA
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2014 |
AJA
1 - 2
GUI
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |