Análisis Bastia vs Lens
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
53.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1975 |
LYO
2 - 2
BAS
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 oct. 1975 |
BAS
3 - 0
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 oct. 1975 |
SOC
2 - 2
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 oct. 1975 |
BAS
2 - 1
STR
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 1975 |
LEN
3 - 2
NAN
50%
25%
26%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1975 |
SOC
3 - 2
LEN
52%
25%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 nov. 1975 |
LEN
1 - 3
ADO
54%
21%
25%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 oct. 1975 |
LEN
3 - 1
LYO
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 oct. 1975 |
STR
1 - 1
LEN
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |