Análisis Bastia vs Lens
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.3%
Empate
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 1996 |
CAN
1 - 1
BAS
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 0
MON
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 1996 |
MPL
3 - 1
BAS
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 oct. 1996 |
BAS
0 - 0
NAN
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1996 |
ASN
2 - 2
BAS
35%
28%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 oct. 1996 |
LEN
2 - 0
REN
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 1996 |
AUX
1 - 0
LEN
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 1996 |
LEN
2 - 2
MET
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 oct. 1996 |
LHA
0 - 0
LEN
32%
29%
39%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 1996 |
LEN
0 - 1
LYO
48%
26%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |