Análisis Bastia vs Lille
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ago. 1975 |
BAS
3 - 0
PSG
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 1975 |
LIL
0 - 0
BAS
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1975 |
BAS
4 - 2
SOC
52%
25%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 may. 1975 |
ASS
3 - 2
BAS
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1975 |
GIR
1 - 0
BAS
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 ago. 1975 |
LIL
3 - 3
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 1975 |
LIL
0 - 0
BAS
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 may. 1975 |
LYO
5 - 1
LIL
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1975 |
LIL
1 - 0
REN
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1975 |
MET
2 - 1
LIL
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |