Análisis Bastia vs Lille
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.53
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ago. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 1
BAS
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 0
GUI
45%
28%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 ago. 1996 |
BAS
2 - 0
REN
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 may. 1996 |
PSG
5 - 1
BAS
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 may. 1996 |
BAS
1 - 2
NIC
55%
26%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 ago. 1996 |
LIL
3 - 1
REN
42%
30%
28%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 ago. 1996 |
AUX
2 - 0
LIL
74%
18%
9%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 ago. 1996 |
LIL
1 - 0
MET
27%
30%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 may. 1996 |
LIL
0 - 2
GIR
31%
28%
41%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 may. 1996 |
LIL
2 - 1
LYO
28%
30%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |