Análisis Bastia vs Metz
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
52.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.6
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 1976 |
LEN
1 - 1
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1976 |
BAS
2 - 0
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1976 |
BAS
4 - 1
LYO
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 abr. 1976 |
MON
2 - 0
BAS
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 1976 |
BAS
1 - 1
SOC
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 may. 1976 |
MET
4 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 1976 |
SOC
3 - 2
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 1976 |
MET
5 - 0
STR
64%
20%
15%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 abr. 1976 |
NAN
2 - 0
MET
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 1976 |
MET
0 - 1
TRO
69%
19%
13%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |