Análisis Bastia vs Metz
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.24
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.4%
Empate
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 1978 |
LIL
2 - 2
BAS
42%
26%
33%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 0
NÎM
70%
18%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1978 |
REI
1 - 1
BAS
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1978 |
BAS
1 - 1
STR
62%
20%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1978 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 nov. 1978 |
MET
0 - 0
SOC
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 1978 |
ANG
3 - 1
MET
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 1978 |
MET
0 - 1
ASS
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 oct. 1978 |
NIC
5 - 0
MET
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 oct. 1978 |
MET
1 - 0
GIR
61%
22%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |