Análisis Baza vs Mancha Real
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.15
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2002 |
VAN
2 - 0
BAZ
29%
27%
44%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2002 |
BAZ
1 - 0
UDS
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2002 |
VEL
2 - 2
BAZ
26%
27%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2002 |
BAZ
5 - 0
ALH
42%
25%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 mar. 2002 |
BAZ
0 - 1
MAL
27%
26%
48%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2002 |
MAN
2 - 3
MMA
28%
26%
46%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 abr. 2002 |
ILI
0 - 0
MAN
27%
27%
47%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2002 |
CDL
2 - 1
MAN
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 0
VAN
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 abr. 2002 |
UDS
4 - 0
MAN
39%
27%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -3 |