Análisis Baza vs Mancha Real
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
66.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.78
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
22%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
11.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 may. 2004 |
UDS
1 - 4
BAZ
33%
27%
40%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2004 |
BAZ
0 - 1
MOT
37%
28%
36%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 2
BAZ
20%
27%
54%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 may. 2004 |
BAZ
0 - 0
CAR
50%
26%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
ROC
2 - 0
BAZ
32%
27%
41%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 may. 2004 |
MOT
3 - 1
MAN
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 may. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
MAR
47%
28%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 may. 2004 |
CAR
3 - 0
MAN
65%
22%
13%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 may. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 0
ROC
29%
29%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 02 may. 2004 |
VAN
2 - 2
MAN
37%
30%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |