Análisis Baza vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.37
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.7%
Empate
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
23.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2008 |
PUE
2 - 2
BAZ
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2008 |
BAZ
1 - 0
TAL
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 feb. 2008 |
CDL
2 - 2
BAZ
57%
25%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
BAZ
1 - 0
RJA
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 feb. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 0
BAZ
47%
28%
25%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 mar. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 0
TAL
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2008 |
RJA
1 - 0
LUC
51%
28%
22%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 feb. 2008 |
LUC
3 - 1
ALG
55%
26%
19%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 feb. 2008 |
ALC
1 - 2
LUC
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 feb. 2008 |
LUC
3 - 0
MER
23%
28%
49%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |