Análisis Baza vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
25%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.04
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
49.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 1987 |
MIJ
1 - 0
BAZ
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1987 |
BAZ
2 - 3
MAL
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1987 |
AMA
4 - 0
BAZ
83%
13%
5%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 ene. 1987 |
BAZ
1 - 0
UDS
70%
18%
12%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 ene. 1987 |
BAZ
1 - 1
ANT
65%
20%
16%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 1987 |
MEL
2 - 0
RJA
28%
28%
44%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 1987 |
RJA
3 - 0
MIJ
82%
13%
5%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 ene. 1987 |
MAL
1 - 2
RJA
22%
25%
53%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 ene. 1987 |
RJA
1 - 2
AMA
60%
24%
16%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 ene. 1987 |
RJA
2 - 1
UDS
88%
9%
3%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |