2ª Catalana Jor. 18

Análisis Begur vs Cal Aguido

Begur Cal Aguido
17 ELO 12
10.9% Tilt 20.8%
13922º Ranking ELO general 15213º
2633º Ranking ELO país 3528º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
65.9%
Begur
17.7%
Empate
16.4%
Cal Aguido

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
Begur
2.49
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.7%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
16.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Cal Aguido
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Begur
+88%
+64%
Cal Aguido

Progresión del ELO

Begur
Cal Aguido
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Begur
Begur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 feb. 2025
SAU
Sauleda
0 - 6
Begur
BEG
59%
19%
23%
14 16 2 0
26 ene. 2025
BEG
Begur
1 - 5
Vilablareix FC A A
VIL
26%
22%
52%
15 20 5 -1
18 ene. 2025
SVI
Sporting-Vidrerenca
1 - 1
Begur
BEG
50%
21%
29%
14 16 2 +1
12 ene. 2025
BEG
Begur
3 - 0
Quart
QRT
36%
23%
41%
13 16 3 +1
21 dic. 2024
FOR
Fornells UE
2 - 0
Begur
BEG
70%
16%
14%
13 18 5 0

Partidos

Cal Aguido
Cal Aguido
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 feb. 2025
CAG
Cal Aguido
1 - 3
Sporting-Vidrerenca
SVI
32%
22%
46%
14 17 3 0
25 ene. 2025
QRT
Quart
3 - 2
Cal Aguido
CAG
55%
21%
24%
14 16 2 0
18 ene. 2025
FOR
Fornells UE
5 - 0
Cal Aguido
CAG
71%
16%
13%
15 19 4 -1
12 ene. 2025
CAG
Cal Aguido
4 - 2
EF Bosc de Tosca
BOS
21%
22%
57%
13 20 7 +2
21 dic. 2024
CAL
Calonge
4 - 3
Cal Aguido
CAG
62%
19%
19%
14 16 2 -1