Análisis Belgrano vs Def. Belgrano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
41.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.36
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+3%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 nov. 2004 |
CHA
1 - 2
BEL
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2004 |
BEL
4 - 2
JAN
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 oct. 2004 |
RAF
4 - 1
BEL
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 oct. 2004 |
BEL
1 - 0
TAL
20%
25%
56%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 oct. 2004 |
POR
2 - 1
BEL
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 nov. 2004 |
DEF
0 - 1
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2004 |
GOD
5 - 0
DEF
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 oct. 2004 |
DEF
0 - 1
DYJ
68%
19%
13%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 oct. 2004 |
SMA
1 - 2
DEF
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 2004 |
DEF
2 - 0
SAR
62%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |