Análisis Benfica vs Académica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.21
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.8%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.58
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+34%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 1974 |
VAN
1 - 4
SLB
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 45 | 44 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 1974 |
LEX
1 - 2
SLB
13%
23%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 22 sep. 1974 |
SLB
2 - 2
OLH
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 1974 |
SLB
4 - 0
VAN
93%
5%
2%
|
89 | 45 | 44 | -1 |
| 15 sep. 1974 |
FAR
0 - 4
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
Partidos
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 sep. 1974 |
OLH
3 - 1
ACA
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 sep. 1974 |
ACA
2 - 1
BEL
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 1974 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 1974 |
ACA
0 - 1
ORI
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 may. 1974 |
OLH
0 - 0
ACA
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |