Análisis Benfica vs Académica
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.36
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.2%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 2015 |
SLB
3 - 1
NAC
71%
18%
12%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2015 |
RIO
2 - 1
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2015 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPB
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2015 |
ARO
1 - 3
SLB
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 2015 |
SLB
6 - 0
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Partidos
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2015 |
ACA
0 - 0
RIO
36%
30%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2015 |
SPB
0 - 0
ACA
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 1
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 2
ACA
52%
27%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 mar. 2015 |
ACA
1 - 1
ARO
43%
29%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |