Análisis Benfica vs Ajax
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.68
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.4%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+9%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 feb. 1969 |
SLB
3 - 1
VAR
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 1969 |
AJA
1 - 3
SLB
74%
15%
11%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 feb. 1969 |
LEX
0 - 0
SLB
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 ene. 1969 |
SLB
5 - 0
SAN
88%
8%
4%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | +1 |
| 19 ene. 1969 |
VST
1 - 1
SLB
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 1969 |
AJA
1 - 3
SLB
74%
15%
11%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1969 |
AJA
7 - 0
VVD
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
| 02 feb. 1969 |
NEC
1 - 2
AJA
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 1969 |
FOR
0 - 1
AJA
10%
15%
75%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 ene. 1969 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |