Análisis Benfica vs Lusitano VRSA
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
93.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
4.7
Goles esperados
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.4%
10-1
0.5%
+9
1.9%
8-0
2.7%
9-1
1%
10-2
0.2%
+8
3.8%
7-0
4.6%
8-1
1.9%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.8%
6-0
6.9%
7-1
3.2%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.7%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
4.7%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.7%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.1%
3.6%
Empate
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
3.6%
1.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.69
Goles esperados
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 1948 |
FCP
0 - 2
SLB
38%
20%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1948 |
SLB
3 - 0
VST
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 1948 |
ACA
2 - 6
SLB
16%
17%
66%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1948 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 feb. 1948 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
73%
15%
13%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 1
BEL
6%
14%
81%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1948 |
SPB
7 - 1
LUS
79%
12%
8%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 mar. 1948 |
LUS
0 - 0
OLH
34%
22%
44%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 1948 |
BOA
2 - 1
LUS
77%
13%
10%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 feb. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 1
OEL
42%
23%
35%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |