Análisis Benfica vs Marítimo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.56
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.6%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+7%
-4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 ene. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
LEX
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 ene. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 ene. 2014 |
SLB
5 - 0
GFC
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 dic. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 2013 |
VST
0 - 2
SLB
16%
22%
63%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | +1 |
Partidos
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 2014 |
SCP
3 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAR
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 ene. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 3
PEN
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 dic. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
PEN
71%
20%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 dic. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
SPB
28%
26%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |