Taça de Portugal . 1/16

Análisis Benfica vs Moreirense

Benfica Moreirense
87 ELO 73
3.8% Tilt 5.4%
78º Ranking ELO general 422º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
73.7%
Benfica
17.4%
Empate
8.9%
Moreirense

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
73.7%
Probabilidad gana
Benfica
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.4%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.9%
Probabilidad gana
Moreirense
0.61
Goles esperados
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

Progresión del ELO

Benfica
Moreirense
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Benfica
Benfica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 nov. 2014
NAC
Nacional
1 - 2
Benfica
SLB
25%
25%
50%
87 77 10 0
04 nov. 2014
SLB
Benfica
1 - 0
Monaco
MON
56%
23%
21%
86 83 3 +1
31 oct. 2014
SLB
Benfica
1 - 0
Rio Ave
RIO
75%
17%
9%
85 74 11 +1
26 oct. 2014
SPB
Sporting Braga
2 - 1
Benfica
SLB
38%
25%
37%
86 84 2 -1
22 oct. 2014
MON
Monaco
0 - 0
Benfica
SLB
32%
25%
43%
87 84 3 -1

Partidos

Moreirense
Moreirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 nov. 2014
MOR
Moreirense
0 - 1
Os Belenenses
BEL
48%
27%
25%
74 72 2 0
02 nov. 2014
MAR
Marítimo
1 - 2
Moreirense
MOR
52%
25%
23%
73 75 2 +1
29 oct. 2014
MOR
Moreirense
1 - 2
Trofense
TRO
66%
21%
13%
72 56 16 +1
25 oct. 2014
MOR
Moreirense
2 - 0
Gil Vicente
GFC
50%
27%
24%
72 68 4 0
19 oct. 2014
MOR
Moreirense
2 - 1
Pedras Rubras
PED
84%
12%
4%
70 32 38 +2
X