Champions League Cuartos
Global 6-3
Análisis Benfica vs Real Madrid
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
49.5%
Probabilidad gana
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
28.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.5
Goles esperados
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 1965 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1965 |
FAB
2 - 0
SLB
22%
21%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 feb. 1965 |
SLB
5 - 0
LEX
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1965 |
SCP
2 - 2
SLB
37%
23%
41%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 1965 |
LGC
0 - 0
SLB
12%
19%
70%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
Partidos
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 feb. 1965 |
RMA
6 - 1
BET
86%
9%
5%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1965 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RMA
36%
25%
40%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 feb. 1965 |
RMA
3 - 0
VCF
84%
11%
6%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 1965 |
OVI
0 - 1
RMA
13%
22%
65%
|
94 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 1965 |
RMA
3 - 0
ELC
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | +1 |