Análisis Benfica vs Sporting Braga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.01
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.7%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
5.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+29%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 dic. 1968 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 1968 |
SLB
4 - 0
UFT
92%
5%
3%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1968 |
FCP
1 - 0
SLB
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 1968 |
SLB
3 - 2
ACA
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1968 |
FAB
3 - 0
SLB
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 dic. 1968 |
SPB
1 - 1
FCP
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 1968 |
SPB
0 - 0
ACA
28%
26%
46%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1968 |
FAB
1 - 1
SPB
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 1968 |
SPB
0 - 0
VIT
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 0
SPB
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |