Análisis Benfica vs Sporting Braga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
88.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.26
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
8.2%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.53
Goles esperados
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+25%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 mar. 1976 |
BYM
5 - 1
SLB
56%
22%
22%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 1976 |
EST
0 - 4
SLB
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |
| 07 mar. 1976 |
SLB
3 - 0
FAR
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 mar. 1976 |
SLB
0 - 0
BYM
66%
18%
16%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 1976 |
ATL
0 - 2
SLB
12%
23%
65%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | +1 |
Partidos
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 mar. 1976 |
SPB
2 - 0
FAR
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1976 |
BEL
0 - 0
SPB
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 feb. 1976 |
SPB
1 - 0
ACA
52%
26%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 1976 |
UFT
1 - 4
SPB
66%
20%
15%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 feb. 1976 |
SPB
0 - 3
FCP
23%
28%
49%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | -1 |