Análisis Benfica vs Sporting Braga
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.05
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.5%
Empate
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+25%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 nov. 1985 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1985 |
CHA
0 - 1
SLB
21%
22%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 nov. 1985 |
SAM
1 - 0
SLB
31%
27%
41%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 1985 |
SLB
4 - 0
AVE
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | +1 |
| 27 oct. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 2
SLB
9%
23%
68%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 1985 |
SPB
2 - 1
SPC
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 nov. 1985 |
VST
1 - 3
SPB
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 oct. 1985 |
SPB
1 - 0
VIT
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 oct. 1985 |
MAR
3 - 2
SPB
42%
31%
28%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 1985 |
SPB
0 - 0
FCP
26%
29%
45%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |