Análisis Benfica vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
93.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
4.64
Goles esperados
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.3%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.8%
8-0
2.6%
9-1
0.9%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.7%
7-0
4.5%
8-1
1.8%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.6%
6-0
6.8%
7-1
3.1%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.5%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
4.6%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.6%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
6%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.3%
3.8%
Empate
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
3.8%
1.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.68
Goles esperados
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+26%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 1965 |
STD
0 - 8
SLB
14%
18%
68%
|
87 | 14 | 73 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 1965 |
FCP
2 - 0
SLB
38%
24%
38%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 sep. 1965 |
SLB
6 - 1
FAB
87%
8%
4%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 1965 |
ACA
2 - 2
SLB
24%
22%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 jul. 1965 |
VST
3 - 1
SLB
27%
21%
52%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 sep. 1965 |
VAR
2 - 0
LEX
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 1965 |
FCB
3 - 1
VAR
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 sep. 1965 |
VAR
6 - 0
BMA
49%
23%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 may. 1965 |
VST
7 - 1
VAR
66%
19%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 may. 1965 |
VAR
3 - 1
TOR
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |