Análisis Benfica vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
88.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.13
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
11%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
8.5%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.5%
3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.47
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+25%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 nov. 1970 |
VST
2 - 0
SLB
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 1970 |
SLB
5 - 0
LEX
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 1970 |
FAR
1 - 0
SLB
24%
23%
53%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 nov. 1970 |
FCB
0 - 2
SLB
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1970 |
2 - 0
SLB
48%
25%
27%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 nov. 1970 |
VAR
3 - 2
FCB
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 1970 |
TIR
1 - 1
VAR
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 0
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 nov. 1970 |
FCP
4 - 2
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 2
VIT
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |