Análisis Benfica vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
84.1%
Probabilidad gana
2.83
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.2%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
4.8%
Probabilidad gana
0.55
Goles esperados
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+25%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 1977 |
VIT
0 - 1
SLB
28%
26%
47%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1977 |
SLB
0 - 0
TOR
91%
6%
3%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 sep. 1977 |
SLB
2 - 0
BEL
81%
12%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 sep. 1977 |
SCP
1 - 1
SLB
54%
23%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 may. 1977 |
ATL
0 - 2
SLB
13%
23%
63%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 1977 |
VAR
3 - 1
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 1977 |
ESP
1 - 0
VAR
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 1977 |
VAR
3 - 1
BOA
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 may. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACA
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 may. 1977 |
LEX
1 - 0
VAR
47%
29%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |