Análisis Benfica vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.03
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
9.2%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.49
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 1980 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
47%
27%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 1980 |
SLB
8 - 0
BEL
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 1980 |
EST
0 - 2
SLB
12%
26%
62%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 1980 |
SLB
3 - 0
UDL
87%
8%
4%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 1980 |
BRA
0 - 2
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
88 | 39 | 49 | 0 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 abr. 1980 |
VAR
5 - 1
POR
58%
25%
18%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 mar. 1980 |
SPB
3 - 1
VAR
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 1980 |
VAR
0 - 0
ESP
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 1980 |
BOA
1 - 1
VAR
69%
20%
12%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 1980 |
VST
0 - 1
VAR
63%
20%
16%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |