Análisis Benfica vs Varzim
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.84
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.5%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.5%
4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.48
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+29%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 nov. 1983 |
PEN
0 - 3
SLB
9%
18%
73%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 1983 |
SLB
3 - 0
OLP
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 1983 |
OLP
1 - 0
SLB
27%
26%
47%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 oct. 1983 |
SLB
6 - 2
FAR
87%
10%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | +1 |
| 09 oct. 1983 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 nov. 1983 |
VAR
2 - 0
SPB
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 oct. 1983 |
RDA
1 - 0
VAR
36%
30%
34%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 0
EST
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 1983 |
RIO
1 - 1
VAR
65%
22%
13%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 1
VST
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |