Análisis Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.91
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.7%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+26%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 1971 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1971 |
SLB
6 - 0
LEX
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 1971 |
ATL
1 - 5
SLB
25%
24%
52%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1971 |
SLB
5 - 1
FCB
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1971 |
BOA
2 - 2
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Partidos
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 dic. 1971 |
VIT
7 - 1
TIR
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 dic. 1971 |
BMA
2 - 1
VIT
35%
26%
38%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 1971 |
VIT
1 - 1
VST
33%
27%
40%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1971 |
FAB
5 - 3
VIT
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 nov. 1971 |
VIT
0 - 4
FCP
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |