Análisis Benfica vs Vitória Guimarães
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.63
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.7%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+23%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 oct. 2012 |
GFC
0 - 3
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 oct. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 1
SLB
38%
25%
38%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 oct. 2012 |
SCF
0 - 4
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
89 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 oct. 2012 |
SLB
2 - 1
BMA
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 oct. 2012 |
SLB
0 - 2
FCB
14%
19%
67%
|
89 | 97 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 oct. 2012 |
VIT
2 - 1
VST
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2012 |
VIT
6 - 1
VIL
86%
11%
3%
|
79 | 36 | 43 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2012 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
39%
29%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 2
SPB
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 1
VIT
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |