Análisis BGA vs Roskilde
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.67
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.4%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2005 |
ABK
0 - 4
BGA
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2005 |
BGA
1 - 0
VBK
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2005 |
NAE
0 - 2
BGA
34%
25%
42%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 ago. 2005 |
BGA
5 - 0
AVA
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 2005 |
BGA
3 - 1
JAM
66%
19%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ago. 2005 |
ROS
1 - 5
NOR
22%
24%
54%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2005 |
FCK
3 - 1
ROS
58%
22%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 ago. 2005 |
STE
2 - 1
ROS
33%
25%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 ago. 2005 |
ROS
1 - 0
ABK
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 jun. 2005 |
VEN
0 - 1
ROS
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |