Análisis Bogotá vs Real Cartagena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
22.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.96
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.8%
Empate
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53%
Probabilidad gana
1.63
Goles esperados
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+1%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bogotá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 mar. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 0
BOG
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2014 |
LLA
0 - 0
BOG
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2014 |
BOG
0 - 0
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2014 |
COR
1 - 3
BOG
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 feb. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 2
PER
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 mar. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
JAG
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 mar. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 2
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2014 |
TFC
1 - 1
CAR
14%
24%
63%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 3
CUC
58%
22%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 2
CAR
20%
24%
56%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |