Análisis Bolívar vs Aurora
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
73.9%
Probabilidad gana
2.43
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Empate
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+44%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2013 |
BOL
6 - 1
GUA
68%
19%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 1
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 nov. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 1
RPO
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2013 |
OPE
1 - 0
BOL
36%
25%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2013 |
BOL
2 - 1
JWI
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 nov. 2013 |
AUR
4 - 1
UNI
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2013 |
RPO
4 - 1
AUR
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 2
OPE
33%
26%
42%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 nov. 2013 |
JWI
4 - 2
AUR
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 0
STR
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |