Análisis Bolívar vs Cienciano
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
48.5%
Probabilidad gana
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+24%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 mar. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 1
STR
60%
22%
18%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2007 |
JWI
1 - 0
BOL
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 2007 |
REA
1 - 1
BOL
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 3
UNI
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2007 |
CIE
5 - 1
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -2 |
Partidos
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 mar. 2007 |
CIE
2 - 3
MEL
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 mar. 2007 |
SPC
2 - 2
CIE
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 mar. 2007 |
CIE
5 - 1
BOL
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
CIE
1 - 1
SBO
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2007 |
BOC
1 - 0
CIE
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |