Copa Libertadores Octavos
Global 3-3
Análisis Bolívar vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
52.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.16
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+17%
+16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2000 |
BOL
4 - 2
SAC
72%
18%
11%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2000 |
CIP
2 - 0
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2000 |
NAC
3 - 0
BOL
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2000 |
BOL
4 - 1
BLO
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2000 |
BOL
4 - 1
COB
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 may. 2000 |
NAC
3 - 0
BOL
46%
25%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2000 |
ATP
2 - 0
NAC
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 abr. 2000 |
ALI
2 - 2
NAC
34%
27%
40%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
66%
21%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 3
ATP
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |