Análisis Bolívar vs Sporting Cristal
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
72.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.49
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.3%
Empate
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 feb. 1995 |
BOL
3 - 1
ALI
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1995 |
BOL
2 - 0
JWI
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 ago. 1994 |
OLI
2 - 0
BOL
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 jul. 1994 |
BOL
0 - 1
OLI
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1994 |
BOL
4 - 0
STR
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 feb. 1995 |
JWI
2 - 2
SPC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 1995 |
SPC
3 - 0
ALI
55%
24%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 1993 |
SPC
2 - 3
AME
24%
26%
50%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 1993 |
AME
2 - 2
SPC
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 abr. 1993 |
SPC
4 - 0
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +2 |