Análisis Bolívar vs Univ. Concepción
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.99
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.6%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.19
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 2
BOL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 sep. 2004 |
BOL
1 - 1
RPO
56%
21%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2004 |
STR
0 - 1
BOL
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
BOL
2 - 0
SAN
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 oct. 2004 |
DLS
0 - 1
UCO
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 oct. 2004 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 oct. 2004 |
UCO
2 - 0
PAL
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2004 |
UCO
0 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2004 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |