Análisis Bom Jesus vs Penedense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.52
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Bom Jesus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 mar. 2005 |
BJE
1 - 1
MUR
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
BJE
3 - 1
COR
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
| 16 mar. 2005 |
COR
2 - 4
BJE
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +2 |
| 10 mar. 2005 |
DSA
1 - 1
BJE
40%
24%
36%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2005 |
BJE
2 - 1
CSE
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
Partidos
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 mar. 2005 |
PEN
2 - 1
CRB
13%
19%
68%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 2005 |
PEN
3 - 0
MUR
34%
24%
43%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | +3 |
| 16 mar. 2005 |
COR
3 - 2
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 mar. 2005 |
ASA
4 - 3
PEN
77%
14%
9%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2005 |
PEN
2 - 0
CSE
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |