Análisis Botafogo PB vs Nacional de Patos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.19
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.2%
Empate
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
-19%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 feb. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
20%
22%
58%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 feb. 2006 |
BOT
1 - 1
CAM
53%
23%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2006 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
12%
17%
71%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2006 |
ECP
0 - 0
BOT
10%
15%
75%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATL
76%
16%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 0
ECP
70%
17%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 feb. 2006 |
CAM
3 - 2
NAC
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 ene. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
DPB
78%
14%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 1
NAC
15%
19%
67%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 ene. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
TRE
27%
23%
51%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |