Análisis Botafogo vs Fluminense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
66.6%
Probabilidad gana
2.33
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.3%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15%
Probabilidad gana
1.02
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ago. 1973 |
FFL
2 - 2
BOT
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 1973 |
CEB
0 - 0
BOT
47%
23%
30%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 may. 1973 |
BOT
2 - 0
CCP
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 may. 1973 |
COL
3 - 3
BOT
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 1973 |
CCP
3 - 2
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ago. 1973 |
MOT
1 - 4
FLU
30%
32%
38%
|
80 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 1973 |
SET
0 - 0
FLU
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 dic. 1972 |
COR
0 - 0
FLU
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1972 |
FLU
2 - 3
ATM
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 dic. 1972 |
FLU
0 - 0
CEA
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |