Análisis Botafogo vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
41.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.2%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.41
Goles esperados
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 1973 |
PAL
3 - 2
BOT
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 dic. 1972 |
PAL
0 - 0
BOT
65%
19%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 dic. 1972 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 dic. 1972 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAN
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1972 |
BOT
4 - 1
SAN
71%
17%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 1973 |
NAC
2 - 0
PEÑ
69%
18%
14%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 may. 1972 |
PEÑ
0 - 3
NAC
66%
18%
16%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1972 |
NAC
3 - 3
UNI
69%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1972 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 1972 |
UNI
3 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |