Análisis Botafogo vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.82
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 feb. 1985 |
SAN
2 - 2
BOT
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1985 |
BOT
2 - 1
FLA
35%
26%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 feb. 1985 |
SAO
3 - 1
BOT
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 1985 |
SCI
2 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 ene. 1985 |
BOT
1 - 1
BAH
58%
23%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 feb. 1985 |
NAU
1 - 0
FLU
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1985 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAU
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 feb. 1985 |
NAU
1 - 3
GUA
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 feb. 1985 |
NAU
1 - 1
ATM
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 1985 |
AME
1 - 1
NAU
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |