Análisis Botafogo vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.3%
Empate
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+22%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 1989 |
GUA
2 - 0
BOT
58%
24%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 1989 |
ATM
2 - 0
BOT
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1989 |
FLA
1 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 sep. 1989 |
BOT
3 - 0
ATP
55%
28%
18%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 sep. 1989 |
BOT
2 - 1
SCI
43%
31%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 oct. 1989 |
ATP
3 - 0
NAU
51%
27%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 sep. 1989 |
NAU
1 - 2
GUA
44%
29%
28%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1989 |
NAU
1 - 0
COR
48%
28%
24%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 sep. 1989 |
NAU
3 - 3
SAO
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 sep. 1989 |
INT
3 - 2
NAU
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |