Análisis Botafogo vs Náutico
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.03
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.89
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+15%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 sep. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 2
BOT
13%
22%
65%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2003 |
BOT
2 - 1
PAU
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 sep. 2003 |
GAM
1 - 1
BOT
27%
25%
48%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2003 |
BOT
2 - 2
CAX
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 ago. 2003 |
MOG
1 - 4
BOT
16%
23%
61%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
Partidos
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 sep. 2003 |
NAU
4 - 1
GAM
57%
23%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 2003 |
REM
1 - 3
NAU
56%
23%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2003 |
NAU
3 - 0
MOG
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 ago. 2003 |
BRA
1 - 0
NAU
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 ago. 2003 |
NAU
1 - 1
AME
53%
24%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |